Hindsight Markets Beta

Recaps · October 12, 2026

NCPL, October 12: the $1.79 wall, a run to $2.66, and a fade to $1.55

News
PRNewsWire, the day before at 1:47 a.m.
Float
6.71 million shares
Volume
18.38 million shares
Previous close
$1.14
Open
$1.49 (up 30.7%)
High
$2.66 at 11:33 a.m.
Close
$1.55
2.661.141.274 a.m.9:30noon4 p.m.8 p.m.
NCPL on October 12, 2026, one-minute bars in New York time. Shaded: before the 9:30 a.m. open and after the 4:00 p.m. close. Bands: halts.

Before the open

On October 9, NCPL opened at $1.31 and traded between $0.93 and $1.72. The official close was $1.14. Its last bar after hours was $1.36.

Then came a stack of law-firm releases about a securities class action against Netcapital. On October 11 at 7:30 a.m., Business Wire ran: “Netcapital Inc. Sued for Securities Law Violations - Contact the DJS Law Group to Discuss Your Rights – NCPL”. At 12:00 p.m. Newsfile Corp ran a Bronstein, Gewirtz & Grossman release, and at 5:00 p.m. a Rosen release. At 1:47 a.m. on the 12th, PRNewsWire ran two more, one from the DJS Law Group and one from SBS Law.

These are headlines and times. The data doesn't say what moved the stock.

Pre-market: up to $1.81 and back

The first bar, at 4:00 a.m., opened at $1.41, well above the $1.14 close. It traded as low as $1.29 inside that first minute. For the next hour it mostly sat between $1.30 and $1.37. There was a brief spike to $1.47 at 4:09.

The real move started at 5:33 a.m., at $1.45. Two minutes later, at 5:35, it hit $1.79 on 290,246 shares in that one minute. At 5:36 it was down to $1.51. At 5:38 it hit $1.81, the pre-market high. It touched $1.81 again at 5:41 and 5:45.

It then fell to $1.38 at 5:52. After that it mostly held between $1.40 and $1.60. At 8:24 one minute printed from $1.27 to $1.79 and closed near $1.49. $1.27 is the low so far. At 9:07 PRNewsWire ran a Robbins LLP release about the class action.

4.92 million shares traded before the bell. The float is 6.71 million.

The wall at $1.79

It opened at $1.49, up 31% from the $1.14 close. From 9:30 on, shares were offered at exactly $1.79, just under the $1.81 pre-market high. That wall grew to a peak of 46,663 shares at 11:00. In regular trading the stock stayed below it. Through 11:24, its high was $1.77 at 10:51.

There was a second wall earlier. An ask wall sat at $1.60 from 7:00 until 10:20, peaking at 50,891 shares at 9:36. That one was pulled at 10:20:15. 7,547 shares traded at $1.60 from 10:20:11 to 10:20:14. The stock moved from $1.59 to $1.64 that minute and drifted from there.

Stop It's 11:25. NCPL is at $1.73, up from a $1.49 open. A large ask wall has sat at $1.79 since the open. Would you buy here?

Press play: the real Level 2, time and sales and chart stop at 11:25 a.m. ET for your call, then show what happened. The clip starts at 11:22 a.m. ET.

Here's what happened. At 11:26:01 shares started trading at exactly $1.79. In 10.8 seconds, 35,157 shares traded at $1.79 and the wall was gone. It wasn't pulled. Buyers ate it.

$2.66 in seven minutes

The 11:26 minute cleared the $1.81 pre-market high and went to $1.90. At 11:27 it went through $2.00 and reached $2.20. The 11:28 minute traded 498,039 shares, the most of any minute that day. Inside it, a 32,081-share sell swept ten price levels from $2.25 to $2.16. At 11:28:45 a 54,178-share buy swept from $2.10 to $2.14.

At 11:30 it hit $2.43, up 63% from the open. That same minute, a Kaplan Fox & Kilsheimer release about a December 7, 2026 class-action deadline was received. The headline and the time are all we know.

From $2.24 at 11:32 it ran to $2.66, the high so far, at 11:33. At 11:33:33 an ask wall appeared at $3.00. By 2:16 p.m. it had grown to 47,994 shares, and the stock had not reached $3.00.

By 11:36 it traded as low as $2.33. At 11:40 a 39,388-share sell swept from $2.16 to $2.08, and the minute closed at $2.09. There were no halts all day.

The fade, and one more try

It held near $2.00 for a while, then slid. At 12:15 it dipped to $1.78, down 33% from the high. A 44,293-share sell at 12:09:01 swept from $1.89 to $1.81 on the way.

It tried once more. At 12:27 it pushed to $2.04, a lower high under $2.66. It was back to $1.90 by 12:30.

It sat near $1.80 into the early afternoon, was at $1.75 at 1:26, and worked back up to $1.98 at 2:14. At 2:45 a 33,732-share sell swept from $1.77 to $1.75, and the minute low was $1.68.

Stop It's 2:49 p.m. NCPL is at $1.69. Since 2:48, a large ask wall has sat at $1.71, just above. It peaked at 56,552 shares at 2:48:46. Would you buy here?

Press play: the real Level 2, time and sales and chart stop at 2:49 p.m. ET for your call, then show what happened. The clip starts at 2:46 p.m. ET.

At 2:49:59 shares began trading at $1.71. In 7.7 seconds, 42,983 shares traded there and the wall was gone. The stock was at $1.73 at the end of the 2:50 minute.

Late in the day a bid wall sat at $1.60. It grew to 48,743 shares by 3:41. At 3:48 it was eaten. 40,558 shares traded at $1.60 in one second, including a single 38,909-share print. The 3:49 minute traded as low as $1.51. A new bid wall at $1.50 grew to 62,323 shares by 3:59. The stock held above it and closed at $1.55, 42% below the $2.66 high.

10.73 million shares traded in the regular session. With pre-market, 15.66 million traded, about 2.3 times the float.

After hours

After the bell it moved again. The 4:52 p.m. minute opened at $1.86. The 4:53 minute reached $2.13 on 176,162 shares.

At 5:05 p.m. Newsfile Corp ran a Rosen release with a headline similar to the one at 5:00 p.m. the day before. That minute traded from $2.08 down to $1.89. The stock's last bar, at 7:59 p.m., was $1.56. After-hours volume was 2.72 million shares.

What to take from it

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