Hindsight Markets Beta

Recaps · October 1, 2026

NAMM, October 1: an 8:58 spike, two walls, and $1.55

Float
13.37 million shares
Volume
7.86 million shares
Previous close
$0.9583
Open
$1.04 (up 8.5%)
High
$1.55 at 2:40 p.m.
Close
$1.29
1.550.95834 a.m.9:30noon4 p.m.8 p.m.
NAMM on October 1, 2026, one-minute bars in New York time. Shaded: before the 9:30 a.m. open and after the 4:00 p.m. close. Bands: halts.

The day before

On September 30, NAMM traded between $0.95 and $1.15 on 804,423 shares. The official close was $0.96.

At 5:04 that morning the company had announced the date of its first-half 2026 results and business update call. So the results were scheduled before the day began.

Pre-market: a quiet morning, then a spike

The first trade on October 1 was at $0.98 at 4:01 a.m. The stock stayed around $1 for hours. At 5:53 it touched $1.09 and two minutes later dipped under $1. Through 6:41 it drifted as low as $0.96.

At 8:00 a.m. GlobeNewsWire ran: “Namib Minerals Reports First-Half 2026 Financial Results and Provides Business Update.” The stock was at $1.05.

The move came almost an hour later. At 8:53 it was $1.08. By 8:55 it was $1.15. At 8:58 a.m. it hit $1.25, the pre-market high, on 353,889 shares in that one minute.

Then it reversed fast. At 8:59:10 one sell order hit the book for 27,307 shares, from $1.17 down to $1.13. At 9:02 a.m. the stock was at $0.93, down 25% from $1.25, and under the previous close. 1.92 million shares traded before the bell.

The open and the slow climb

It opened at $1.04, up 9% from the previous close. The first minute dipped to $0.97 and closed at $0.99. For the next half hour it sat between $0.98 and $1.04.

At 10:03 MarketBeat ran: “What Namib Minerals (NAMM) Said on Its Q2 Earnings Call.” From 10:11 the stock started to climb. It reached $1.10 by 10:28 and $1.17 at 10:41. At 10:38:57 one buy order took 47,342 shares across three levels, from $1.13 to $1.15.

After 10:41 it drifted. Through the late morning and noon hour it mostly held $1.10 to $1.20. A Seeking Alpha earnings call transcript came out at 11:10.

The wall at $1.38

From 10:29 a.m. on, someone was offering stock at exactly $1.38. The stock was at $1.10 then. It was still there hours later, and larger. It peaked at 95,886 shares at 1:23 p.m. That is 0.7% of the float.

Meanwhile the stock had started to run. At 1:03 it was $1.20. By 1:09 it was $1.33. It chopped around $1.30 and was working back up toward the wall from 1:22.

Stop It's 1:26. NAMM is at $1.36. Two cents above, a wall that peaked near 96,000 shares has been offered at $1.38 since 10:29. Would you buy here?

Press play: the real Level 2, time and sales and chart stop at 1:26 p.m. ET for your call, then show what happened. The clip starts at 1:23 p.m. ET.

Here's what happened. At 1:26:30 trades began printing at $1.38. In 4.2 seconds, 89,315 shares traded at exactly $1.38 and the wall was gone. It wasn't pulled. Buyers ate it. One of those trades was a single 32,351-share print at the bid.

The 1:26 minute reached $1.41. It did not run away. It held $1.34 to $1.42 for the next half hour.

Two more walls

At 1:58 a buy order took 28,113 shares from $1.40 to $1.42, and the stock touched $1.44. At 1:59 a new ask wall appeared, at $1.52. It peaked at 94,770 shares at 2:23. At 2:28 it was pulled. Nobody had eaten it.

Half a minute later another wall showed up, at $1.48. It peaked at 78,429 shares at 2:35.

Stop It's 2:36. NAMM is at $1.47. One cent above, a wall that peaked near 78,000 shares at 2:35 is offered at $1.48. The $1.52 wall from earlier is gone. Would you buy here?

Press play: the real Level 2, time and sales and chart stop at 2:36 p.m. ET for your call, then show what happened. The clip starts at 2:33 p.m. ET.

At 2:37:07 a single 66,600-share trade printed at $1.48, at the bid. In that same second, 73,353 shares traded at $1.48 and the wall was gone. The 2:37 minute ran to $1.52 on 164,332 shares.

The high of the day came at 2:40 p.m.: $1.55, up 62% from the previous close. It held $1.54 through the 2:41 minute.

The drop

Then it broke. At 2:42:21, three sell orders hit in the same second: about 120,000 shares in all, from $1.54 down to $1.41. The 2:42 minute closed at $1.34 on 343,518 shares.

It kept falling. At 2:43:29 another sell order took 29,223 shares from $1.31 to $1.27. The 2:43 low was $1.23, about three minutes after the high. By the end of 2:44 it had bounced to $1.29.

The rest of the day

It came back once more. At 2:48 p.m. it pushed to just over $1.35, well under the $1.55 top. At 2:50 it dropped to $1.21 and sat between $1.20 and $1.24 through 2:56.

At 2:58 a bid wall of 111,265 shares showed up at $1.25. It was pulled at 2:59:41. At 3:00 a buy order took 24,317 shares from $1.27 to $1.29.

At 3:21 Benzinga ran: “Namib Minerals Stock Rallies On H1 Results: What Investors Need to Know.” The stock was at $1.27. The late-day high was $1.32 at 3:26, and the stock mostly traded between $1.24 and $1.31. It closed at $1.29.

By the close, 5.58 million shares had traded, about 42% of the 13.37 million float, at about 35 times its normal volume. After hours added 354,209 shares and the stock reached $1.37 at 7:50 p.m.

What to take from it

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