Hindsight Markets Beta

Recaps · September 30, 2026

NCI, September 30: a 4:00 a.m. top, a 9:35 halt, and the $1.32 wall

Float
2.03 million shares
Volume
8.64 million shares
Previous close
$1.26
Open
$1.78 (up 41.3%)
High
$2.56 at 4:00 a.m.
Halts
1 (9:35 a.m.)
Close
$1.26
2.561.261.104 a.m.9:30noon4 p.m.8 p.m.
NCI on September 30, 2026, one-minute bars in New York time. Shaded: before the 9:30 a.m. open and after the 4:00 p.m. close. Bands: halts.

The day before

On September 29, NCI opened at $2.13 and reached $2.53. It closed at $1.26, the low of the day. About 5.13 million shares traded.

Pre-market: the top came in the first minute

The first trades on the 30th were at $2.36, already well above the $1.26 close. The pre-market high was $2.56, in the 4:00 a.m. minute. That minute closed at $2.34.

It tried once more. At 4:03 a.m. it reached $2.53, a lower high under $2.56. In that same minute, at 4:03:29, one sell order of 62,077 shares went through 12 price levels, from $2.47 down to $2.36.

After that it slid. By 4:32 a.m., more shares had traded than exist in the whole float (2.03 million). It was $2.05 by then. It dipped to $1.90 at 5:23 a.m., sat around $1.83 to $1.89 through most of 6:00 to 8:00, and fell to just under $1.59 at 8:27 a.m. 4.28 million shares traded before the bell.

9:35: the headline and the halt

The open was $1.78, 41% above the $1.26 previous close. At 9:32 it pushed to $1.94.

At 9:35 GlobeNewsWire ran: “Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Ltd Announces Pricing of $2.0 Million Registered Direct Offering”. The 9:35 minute started at $1.88 and fell to $1.49, with 363,593 shares traded. At 9:35:29 it was halted (a volatility pause).

Starting just before the halt, offers stacked up. At $1.49 there were 198,399 shares at 9:35:29, 9.8% of the float. Offers also built at $1.40 (up to 82,380 shares), $1.35 and $1.34.

It reopened at 9:40:29 at $1.37, 8% below the $1.49 where it stopped. An 81,036-share print crossed at $1.37 at 9:40:29. A second later all of the $1.49, $1.40 and $1.35 offers were gone from the book, and the $1.34 offers were gone six seconds after that.

The price kept falling. The 9:40 minute traded 511,577 shares and went down to $1.17. At 9:40:38 one sell order of 43,229 shares ran from $1.32 to $1.25. The low so far was $1.10 at 9:41.

The wall at $1.32

From 9:40:39, offers appeared at exactly $1.32. They peaked at 59,657 shares at 9:41:03, about 3% of the float. The stock sat under it and chopped between $1.10 and $1.26 through 9:43.

Stop It's 9:44. NCI is at $1.24. The low so far was $1.10, three minutes ago. Since 9:40, a wall of offers at $1.32 has peaked near 59,657 shares. Would you buy here?

Press play: the real Level 2, time and sales and chart stop at 9:44 a.m. ET for your call, then show what happened. The clip starts at 9:41 a.m. ET.

Trading at $1.32 began at 9:44:53. In 2.4 seconds, 46,488 shares traded at exactly $1.32 and the wall was gone. It wasn't pulled. Buyers ate it. One buy order of 47,979 shares ran from $1.29 to $1.32 across four levels.

The move didn't carry far. It touched $1.36 at 9:50 and sat near $1.30 to $1.33 for a few minutes. By 10:03 it was back at $1.22.

11:01 and the afternoon

Stop It's 11:01. NCI is at $1.34. It sat near $1.29 until 10:58, then traded up to $1.35 in the 10:59 and 11:00 minutes. Would you buy here?

Press play: the real Level 2, time and sales and chart stop at 11:01 a.m. ET for your call, then show what happened. The clip starts at 10:58 a.m. ET.

The 11:01 minute went to $1.46 on 133,783 shares, the biggest volume of the day after 10:00. At 11:01:04 a buy order of 47,273 shares ran from $1.34 to $1.39. At 11:01:09 another of 37,028 shares ran from $1.40 to $1.46. It was back at $1.37 by 11:03.

From there it drifted. Another offer wall at $1.30 peaked at 53,341 shares and stood from 12:05 until it was pulled at 3:59 p.m. The stock fell to $1.19 at 2:06 p.m. The 3:59 p.m. bar ended just over $1.26.

From the open to 4:00 p.m., 4.10 million shares traded. For the whole day with extended hours, 8.64 million shares traded: the float changed hands about 4 times. After hours it stayed between $1.19 and $1.34.

What to take from it

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