Hindsight Markets Beta

Recaps · September 23, 2026

BFRG, September 23: ask walls at three prices, a 9:31 headline, and $1.05

Float
16.14 million shares
Volume
48.57 million shares
Previous close
$0.6000
Open
$0.7816 (up 30.3%)
High
$1.05 at 2:32 p.m.
Close
$0.9301
1.050.60000.64004 a.m.9:30noon4 p.m.8 p.m.
BFRG on September 23, 2026, one-minute bars in New York time. Shaded: before the 9:30 a.m. open and after the 4:00 p.m. close. Bands: halts.

The day before

On September 22, BFRG ran from $0.50 to a high of $0.96. It gave a lot of that back and closed at $0.60.

After hours it was back up to $0.75. So it came into the 23rd already well above the close.

Pre-market: a spike to $0.97, then back down

The first trades on the 23rd were at $0.71, already above the $0.60 close. The low so far, $0.64, came at 4:18 a.m. Then it drifted between about $0.66 and $0.74 for hours.

At 6:01 a.m. it touched $0.79 and was back at $0.67 two minutes later. At 7:06 a.m. it touched $0.80. Neither one held.

The real move started at 7:41 a.m. at $0.70. By 8:12 a.m. it hit $0.95, up 36%. More than a million shares traded in the 8:11 minute alone. It pulled back, then made the pre-market high, $0.97 at 8:17 a.m.

It did not hold. By 8:43 a.m. it was at $0.67, down 31% from the high. It bounced from $0.68 at 8:52 a.m. to above $0.82 by 9:14 a.m. In all, 15.13 million shares traded before the bell.

The open and the 9:31 headline

It opened at $0.78, up 30% from the previous close. A 92,184-share print at $0.7838 came at 9:30:01.

At 9:31 Benzinga ran the headline “BullFrog AI Stock Surges Wednesday: What's Happening?” In that minute the stock traded between $0.75 and $0.78.

Counting pre-market, by 9:54 a.m. more shares had traded than exist in the whole float (16.14 million). The price was $0.74 by then.

At 10:11 it reached $0.81 on a 56,951-share buy sweep that ran from $0.7981 to $0.80. It slid from there. At 10:28 it hit $0.705, the low since the open, as a 42,766-share sell swept down through five levels.

Midday: two walls and a quiet stock

At 10:20 an ask wall showed up at $0.80, peaking at 173,031 shares. At 10:23 another appeared at $0.90. Together they sat above a stock trading around $0.72.

From 10:30 until noon the stock stayed between about $0.71 and $0.76. By 12:04 it was pinned at $0.72.

Stop It's 12:11. BFRG is at $0.72 and has sat there for several minutes. Big ask walls have been on the book at $0.80 and $0.90 since mid-morning. Would you buy here?

Press play: the real Level 2, time and sales and chart stop at 12:11 p.m. ET for your call, then show what happened. The clip starts at 12:08 p.m. ET.

Here's what happened. In the 12:11 minute, a 62,712-share buy sweep went through $0.749 to $0.755. At 12:12:00 another buy sweep took 60,064 shares up to $0.77. At 12:14:08 the $0.80 wall was gone. Only 13,032 shares had traded at $0.80 in the ten seconds before. It was mostly pulled, not eaten.

The $0.90 wall was different. At 12:21:24, 55,531 shares traded at exactly $0.90 in under a second, and the wall was gone. Buyers ate it.

It reached $0.94 at 12:27. Then it fell, to $0.77 at 12:36, down 19% from $0.94.

$1.05 at 2:32 and the wall at $1.00

From $0.77 at 12:40 it climbed to $0.97 at 1:18 p.m. A 108,660-share sell sweep at 1:12 and a 69,974-share buy sweep at 1:15 were part of that chop. By 1:49 it had drifted back to $0.83 and sat around $0.85 to $0.88 for the next half hour.

At 2:17 p.m. it started climbing again. It reached $0.98 by 2:20 and $0.97 at 2:30. Then in the 2:31 minute, 523,501 shares traded and it hit $1.04. At 2:32 p.m. it reached $1.05, the high so far. By 2:35 it was down to $0.88.

At 2:38 p.m. an ask wall appeared at exactly $1.00. It grew through the afternoon and showed 153,566 shares at 3:07 p.m.

Stop It's 3:08. BFRG is at $0.99, climbing since 3:04. Over 150,000 shares are offered at $1.00, just above. Would you buy here?

Press play: the real Level 2, time and sales and chart stop at 3:08 p.m. ET for your call, then show what happened. The clip starts at 3:05 p.m. ET.

Here's what happened. Starting at 3:09:24, 100,433 shares traded at exactly $1.00 in 11.9 seconds and the wall was gone. It wasn't pulled. Buyers ate it. One minute later, in the 3:10 minute, the stock touched $1.05 again, matching the high of the day.

It did not stay up there. By 3:13 it was down to $0.98, bounced to $1.02 at 3:15, then slid into the low $0.96s by 3:21.

The rest of the day

At 3:33 p.m. it pushed to $1.02 again, a lower high under the $1.05 top. By 3:37 it was at $0.91.

At 3:45 p.m. a second ask wall showed up at $1.00. It reached 199,753 shares at 3:59 p.m. The stock closed at $0.93.

After hours it fell to $0.81 at 4:27 p.m., bounced to $0.93 at 4:46 p.m., and traded around $0.83 to $0.86 by 8 p.m.

By the close, 31.48 million shares had traded, about two times the float. Counting pre-market and after hours, the day came to 48.57 million shares, about three times the float. Relative volume was about 40. There were no halts.

What to take from it

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