Hindsight Markets Beta

Recaps · August 19, 2026

BTOG, August 19: a reverse-split headline, a 56,352-share float, and $1.11

Float
56,352 shares
Volume
5.73 million shares
Previous close
$0.7749
Open
$0.7550 (up 2.6%)
High
$1.11 at 3:19 p.m.
Close
$0.8734
1.370.77490.73004 a.m.9:30noon4 p.m.8 p.m.
BTOG on August 19, 2026, one-minute bars in New York time. Shaded: before the 9:30 a.m. open and after the 4:00 p.m. close. Bands: halts.

Pre-market and the headline

BTOG closed the day before at $0.77. The pre-market was thin. The high was $0.77, first at 5:25 a.m., and only 4,182 shares traded before the bell.

At 8:30 a.m. GlobeNewsWire ran: “Bit Origin Ltd Announces 1-for-5 Reverse Stock Split Effective August 21, 2026”. The split was set for two days later. The stock did not jump on it. The 8:30 minute traded at $0.76, and it stayed near there into the open.

The open and a long, quiet middle

It opened at $0.755, down 3% from the previous close. The low so far was $0.73 at 9:39, on a minute with just 19 shares. This stock has a very small float, 56,352 shares, and a few hundred shares can move the price.

By 12:29 p.m., counting the pre-market, more shares had traded than exist in the whole float. Even so, the price barely moved. From 10:35 until 3:14 p.m. it stayed between about $0.76 and $0.90. Most minutes traded only a few dozen shares or fewer, with a few spikes of volume, like 9,974 shares at 11:55 and 10,339 at 11:58.

3:14 p.m.: the move starts

At 3:14 p.m. the price was $0.88 and the minute traded 9,624 shares. At 3:15 it traded 34,540 shares, more than half the float in one minute, and the high went to $0.98.

Stop It's 3:17. BTOG is at $0.96. Three minutes ago it was $0.88, and the 3:15 minute alone traded 34,540 shares, more than half the float. Would you buy here?

Press play: the real Level 2, time and sales and chart stop at 3:17 p.m. ET for your call, then show what happened. The clip starts at 3:14 p.m. ET.

Here's what happened. The 3:17 minute ran from $0.96 to $1.06 on 119,300 shares. At 3:17:42 a single sell of 22,228 shares printed at $0.98, at the bid. In the same second a sell order of 15,612 shares went through ten price levels, from $1.01 down to $0.9549. The stock closed that minute at $1.03.

The 3:18 minute traded 161,854 shares and reached just under $1.09. At 3:18:17 an ask wall showed up at $1.35.

Stop It's 3:19. BTOG is at $1.04, up from $0.88 five minutes ago. The last two minutes traded about 281,000 shares. Would you chase it here?

Press play: the real Level 2, time and sales and chart stop at 3:19 p.m. ET for your call, then show what happened. The clip starts at 3:16 p.m. ET.

The top at $1.11

The regular-session high, $1.11, came in the 3:19 minute. The 3:20 minute dipped to $0.977 and closed at $1.03.

That is 5,000 shares on a stock whose whole float is 56,352. The order alone would be almost 9% of the float.

The fade

It came back once more. At 3:22 p.m. it pushed to $1.06, a lower high under $1.11. At 3:23 it dropped to $0.95, and at 3:23:14 a sell order of 11,743 shares went through ten levels, from $1.00 to $0.98.

A second ask wall formed at $1.20, first seen at 3:29:27, with 24,633 shares (44% of the float). At 3:31:02 another sell order of 10,023 shares went through 16 levels, from $0.9712 to $0.95. The 3:34 minute hit $0.85 on 53,505 shares.

After a small bounce it slid to $0.84 at 3:46 p.m. and closed at $0.87, 21% below the high. The regular session traded 1.18 million shares: the float changed hands about 21 times.

After hours

The after-hours session was bigger than the regular one. About 4.55 million shares traded. The price fell to $0.79 at 4:08 p.m., then climbed to $1.37 at 6:31 p.m., 73% above that low and above the regular-session high of $1.11. By 7:59 p.m. it was back to $0.93.

What to take from it

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