Hindsight Markets Beta

Recaps · August 11, 2026

NCRA, August 11: $4.21 at 4:03 a.m. and a close at $2.44

Float
2.11 million shares
Volume
7.98 million shares
Previous close
$2.05
Open
$2.38 (up 16.1%)
High
$4.21 at 4:03 a.m.
Close
$2.44
4.212.051.854 a.m.9:30noon4 p.m.8 p.m.
NCRA on August 11, 2026, one-minute bars in New York time. Shaded: before the 9:30 a.m. open and after the 4:00 p.m. close. Bands: halts.

The day before

On August 10, NCRA traded between $1.92 and $2.16 and closed at $2.05. 24,314 shares changed hands.

4 a.m.: the spike and the first drop

The first trades on the 11th were at $2.31, already above the $2.05 close. By the end of that first minute the stock had traded as high as $3.82, up 86% from the close.

Then it dropped. At 4:01 a.m. it fell to $2.99, 22% under $3.82. In that same minute, one sell order swept 11,786 shares through 25 price levels, from $3.79 down to $3.50. A move like that is one big order walking down the book.

Stop It's 4:03 a.m. NCRA is at $3.79. It opened pre-market at $2.31 three minutes ago, the previous close was $2.05, and it traded as high as $4.16 in the last minute. Would you buy here?

Press play: the real Level 2, time and sales and chart stop at 4:03 a.m. ET for your call, then show what happened. The clip starts at 4:00 a.m. ET.

Here's what happened. It ran to $4.21 at 4:03 a.m., the high so far, up 105% from the close. At 4:03:00 another sell sweep took 15,209 shares from $3.78 to $3.70. By the end of the minute it was at $3.70.

It pushed back to $3.90 at 4:07, then fell to $3.13 at 4:08. Another push reached $3.65 at 4:11, also under $4.21. By 4:11 a.m., more shares had traded than exist in the whole float (2.11 million).

4:13 to 8 a.m.: a long slide

At 4:13 the stock broke down. It fell from $3.55 to $2.66 in two minutes, with another 19,035-share sell sweep at 4:13:44 (from $3.11 to $3.04). A 26,002-share bid wall at $2.34 had appeared at 4:13:43. It was pulled at 4:17:55, while the stock stayed above it.

After that volume dried up. The stock drifted between about $2.50 and $3.30 through 6 a.m., then lower. At 7:28 it traded under the $2.05 close, and at 7:37 it hit $1.85, the low so far. In all, 6.87 million shares traded pre-market, about 3 times the float.

Two headlines

At 8:00 a.m. GlobeNewsWire ran: “Nocera and INERGX Form 50/50 Joint Venture to Acquire and Consolidate the Mission-Critical Energy Supply Chain Serving AI Data Centers, Defense & Heavy Industry, Targeting a $250 Million Valuation for INERGX”. In that minute the stock went from $1.94 to $2.16 on 75,156 shares, its biggest minute since 4:43. It touched $2.17 a minute later.

At 8:31 a second headline came: “Nocera Clears Every Open Nasdaq Listing Matter With Stockholders' Equity of $5.4 Million - More Than Double the Required Minimum - and Turns Full Attention to Acquisitions”. In that minute it moved from $2.12 to $2.23. It reached $2.27 at 8:35, slipped to $2.14 by 9:02, then climbed to $2.42 by 9:29.

Both times the move was small next to the 4 a.m. spike. The stock had already run and faded before either headline was out.

The open

Stop It's 9:30. NCRA is opening at $2.38, 16% above the $2.05 close. It has climbed from $1.94 at 8:00, with two headlines out. The high so far, $4.21, came at 4:03 a.m. Would you buy the open?

Press play: the real Level 2, time and sales and chart stop at 9:30 a.m. ET for your call, then show what happened. The clip starts at 9:27 a.m. ET.

Here's what happened. It opened at $2.38. A 10,777-share print at $2.41 went through on Nasdaq at 9:30:00, and it was the high for the minute. Then it slid. A 13,893-share sell sweep at 9:34:27 ran from $2.10 to $2.08, and the 9:34 candle bottomed at $2.07 on 36,345 shares. It touched $2.05 at 9:45.

It then worked higher. At 10:08:30 a 13,535-share buy sweep ran from $2.28 to $2.32. At 10:17:42 another buy sweep took 13,089 shares from $2.35 to $2.44. The high of the regular session was $2.49 at 10:36. That was 41% under the pre-market high.

Above the price, sellers stacked up. Ask walls sat at $2.58 and $2.75, up to about 34,000 shares each (1.5% to 1.7% of the float). The stock never traded up to either price in the regular session.

Midday dip and the close

From 10:37 on it faded and went quiet, drifting between about $2.02 and $2.48 for hours. At 12:44 a 37,100-share print went through at $2.14, at the bid. At 12:50 it hit $2.02, the low of the regular session. A 75,500-share bid wall at $2.05 showed up at 12:57. That is 3.6% of the float, and it was pulled at 1:04 p.m.

It recovered late. It reached $2.43 at 3:15 and $2.48 at 3:56, and closed at $2.44, 42% under the high of the day. The regular session traded 1.02 million shares. After hours it dipped to $2.22 at 4:09 p.m., bounced to $2.40 at 4:19, and traded 81,425 shares.

For the whole day, 7.98 million shares traded, about 3.8 times the float and 2.7 times normal volume. About 86% of that came before 9:30 a.m.

What to take from it

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