Hindsight Markets Beta

Recaps · August 10, 2026

PIII, August 10: a quiet grind to $13.90, then $18.45 after the bell

Float
564,691 shares
Volume
349,891 shares
Previous close
$11.58
Open
$11.73 (up 1.3%)
High
$13.90 at 2:56 p.m.
Close
$12.99
18.4511.584 a.m.9:30noon4 p.m.8 p.m.
PIII on August 10, 2026, one-minute bars in New York time. Shaded: before the 9:30 a.m. open and after the 4:00 p.m. close. Bands: halts.

Pre-market: almost nothing traded

The previous close was $11.58. The first print of the day came at 6:46 a.m., at $11.97. That was the pre-market high, on 30 shares.

After that it slipped back to the previous close. The 7:49 a.m. minute was the busiest of the morning, with 896 shares, around $11.58. In total only 1,106 shares traded before the bell. The float is 564,691 shares, so this was a very thin market.

The open and the slow climb

It opened at $11.73, up about 1% from the close. In the first minute it traded as high as $12.07 and closed the minute at $11.99. That cleared the pre-market high of $11.97.

It kept climbing in small steps: $12.55 at 9:38, then $12.97 at 9:42. Many minutes had no trades at all.

It then drifted back to $12.45 by 10:11 and spent the late morning between about $12.34 and $12.82.

11 a.m. to 2:50 p.m.: $13 and a range

At 11:03 it pushed through $13, with 1,634 shares that minute. By 11:16 it had reached $13.71.

The biggest regular-session minute came at 11:22, with 7,331 shares, and the price went from $13.44 to $13.40. After that it traded mostly between about $13.06 and $13.50 through the early afternoon.

The top at $13.90

At 2:53 p.m. it dipped to $13.35. Then the 2:56 p.m. minute ran from $13.57 to $13.90, the regular-session high so far, on 1,109 shares.

The book is what a chart doesn't show here. The screen price and the price you would actually pay were far apart.

With a float of 564,691 shares, 5,000 shares is close to 1% of it.

The afternoon slide

From the high it slid. It was at $13.34 by 3:07, $12.95 at 3:14, and $12.50 at 3:38. The low of the afternoon was $12.22 at 3:44 p.m.

Stop It's 3:55. PIII is at $12.76. The high so far was $13.90 at 2:56 p.m., and the stock slid to $12.22 at 3:44 before bouncing back. The previous close was $11.58. Trading has been thin all day, with many minutes showing only a handful of shares, and the float is just 564,691 shares. Would you buy here?

Press play: the real Level 2, time and sales and chart stop at 3:55 p.m. ET for your call, then show what happened. The clip starts at 3:52 p.m. ET.

It recovered into the bell and closed at $12.99. Regular-session volume was 35,650 shares. For the whole day, including after hours, volume was 349,891 shares, about 28 times normal.

After hours: $18.45

At 4:00 p.m. it was $12.83. At 4:03 p.m. the company filed an 8-K. In that minute it traded between $13.00 and $13.47. The 4:05 p.m. minute opened at $13.51 and ran to $16.10.

Also at 4:05 p.m., Business Wire ran: “P3 Health Partners Announces Second Quarter 2026 Results”. The 4:06 p.m. minute reached $17.25. The 4:07 p.m. minute hit $18.45, the high of the day, up 44% from the $12.83 print at 4:00 p.m.

It did not hold there. The 4:08 p.m. minute opened at $18.44 and fell as low as $16.12, on 10,885 shares. Volume stayed heavy for the next several minutes. It traded $18.00 again at 4:12 p.m.

At 4:13 p.m. the company filed a 10-Q. Over the next hour it settled mostly between about $15.20 and $18.00. A second push at 5:36 p.m. went to $18.00, and it drifted back to $17.07 by 6 p.m.

At 6:48 p.m. Seeking Alpha ran: “P3 Health Partners Inc. (PIII) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript”. The last bars of the evening, near 8 p.m., were around $16.63.

After hours, 313,135 shares traded. That's about nine times the regular session's 35,650, and more than half of the 564,691-share float.

What to take from it

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