Hindsight Markets Beta

Glossary

Market-wide circuit breaker

A market-wide circuit breaker halts trading in every US stock when the S&P 500 falls a set percentage below the previous day's close. Since 8 April 2013 the levels are 7%, 13% and 20%: the first two stop trading for 15 minutes if they hit before 3:25 p.m. ET, and the third closes the market for the rest of the day.

Why it matters to a small-cap momentum trader

Small caps live on their own news, but on a day the whole market breaks, everything sells together and liquidity disappears from the thin names first. A market-wide halt freezes every position at once, including the small cap you are holding, and the reopen can be violent. Knowing where the levels sit on the morning of a sharp sell-off tells you how close the market is to stopping.

The rule

Reference. The S&P 500's closing value on the previous trading day. The three levels are recalculated every day from it.

LevelDeclineBefore 3:25 p.m. ETAt or after 3:25 p.m. ET
Level 17%15-minute haltNo halt
Level 213%15-minute haltNo halt
Level 320%Halt for the rest of the dayHalt for the rest of the day

Once a day. Level 1 and Level 2 can each halt the market only once in a day. After a Level 1 halt, trading continues past 7% until the decline reaches 13%.

Regular hours only. The breakers watch the index from 9:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. A fall in the pre-market does not halt anything.

On Nasdaq's halt list the halts carry the codes MWC1, MWC2 and MWC3. They sit on top of the single-stock rules: a stock can still have its own LULD pauses on the same day.

The rule depends on the date

Level 1 halts came on several days in March 2020, the most recent market-wide halts as of this page's date.

Circuit breakers in Hindsight Markets

Every halt in a replay, single-stock or market-wide, comes from the exchanges' own halt messages for that day, not from a model. While a stock is halted, market orders do not fill and resting orders stay on the book until it reopens.

A worked example: the three levels

An illustration with a round number, not a real day.

Prior close. The S&P 500 closed at 5,000 yesterday.

Level 1. 5,000 × (1 − 0.07) = 4,650. A fall to 4,650 at 11:00 a.m. halts the market for 15 minutes.

Level 2. 5,000 × (1 − 0.13) = 4,350. If the selling resumes after the Level 1 halt and reaches 4,350 at 1:00 p.m., another 15-minute halt.

Level 3. 5,000 × (1 − 0.20) = 4,000. At any time of day, trading stops until the next day.

Late in the day. Had the Level 1 fall come at 3:30 p.m. instead, past the 3:25 cutoff, trading would have carried on.

Common mistakes traders make with circuit breakers

Common questions

What are the market-wide circuit breaker levels?
7%, 13% and 20% below the S&P 500's previous close. Level 1 and Level 2 halt trading for 15 minutes before 3:25 p.m. ET; Level 3 halts it for the rest of the day.
How long does a market-wide circuit breaker halt last?
Fifteen minutes for Level 1 or Level 2 when triggered before 3:25 p.m. ET. A Level 3 halt lasts for the rest of the trading day.
When was the last market-wide circuit breaker?
As of this page's date, the most recent were the Level 1 halts on several days in March 2020.
Do circuit breakers apply to the pre-market?
No. They watch the S&P 500 during regular hours, 9:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. A fall in index futures overnight does not halt stock trading.
What is the difference between a circuit breaker and a LULD pause?
A circuit breaker halts the whole market on a fall in the S&P 500. A LULD pause stops one stock for five minutes when its own price reaches its band.

How to practise it in Hindsight Markets

  1. Open a past trading day with a broad sell-off and pull up SPY, the fund that tracks the S&P 500.
  2. Work out the three levels from the index's prior close. Chg in the Level 2 header shows SPY's move from its own prior close, a close stand-in for the index.
  3. Trade small caps that morning and watch how much faster their books thin out than SPY's.
  4. Practise the halt itself on a single-stock halt: the Level 2 header shows H, the chart shades it, and your resting orders wait for the reopen.
  5. Open the journal and compare Most against you on that day's trades with an ordinary day.

Practice this on a real past day in Hindsight Markets

Replay a volatile day, work out the three circuit-breaker levels from the prior close, and practise trading a market that can stop.

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